← ProjectCCG DTR Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at ProjectCCG DTR Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 38.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.8% | +7.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.6% | -14.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.8% | +7.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Wind Exia | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -4.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tome of Sorcery | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Consumption Ring | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Under Fire | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Demolition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crux Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Drawn Blade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fiery Interference | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rending Flames | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Chosen Disciple | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sovereign Sanctuary | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fabled Emerald Fatestone | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Reflected Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |